How many people live in Tokelau right now?
Right now, according to UN estimates
2,714
| Today | In 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Births | · | · |
| Deaths | · | · |
| Growth | · | · |
2026 figures
- Rank by population
- 235 of 237
- Share of world population
- < 0.0001%
- Median age
- 27.6 years
- Children per woman
- 2.54
- Life expectancy
- 77.4 years
- People per km²
- 224
According to UN estimates, about 2,714 people live in Tokelau right now. It ranks 235th out of 237 countries and territories by population, between the Falkland Islands and Niue, and it is home to one in every 3.1 million people on the planet.
Every year, about 60 people are born there and about 15 die. Overall, it gains about 80 people a year.
In 1950, about 1,592 people lived there. Since then, the population has grown by 70%. The UN expects it to peak around 2081, at about 4,422, and then begin to fall. By 2050 it is projected to have about 3,821 people (41% more than today), and by 2100 about 4,370.
Half of its people are younger than 28 (worldwide, 31). Women have an average of 2.54 children each, above the 2.1 needed for each generation to replace the one before, and life expectancy at birth is 77 years (worldwide, 74). There are 224 people per square kilometer.
UN estimates up to today and projections (medium variant) from today onward.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the population of Tokelau in 2026?
- Tokelau has about 2,714 people right now, according to the UN's World Population Prospects 2024. On July 1, 2026, there were 2,691.
- How many people are born each day in Tokelau?
- Very few: about 60 a year. About 15 people die each year.
- Is the population of Tokelau growing?
- Yes: it grows by 2.60% a year, or about 80 people.
- What will the population of Tokelau be in 2050?
- According to the UN projection (medium variant), about 3,821, with a peak around 2081 at about 4,422.
- Why doesn't this figure match the country's official statistics?
- The UN estimates the population of every country with the same method, based on censuses, surveys and registers, and projects it year by year. Each national statistics office uses its own censuses and registers, which may be more up to date or count foreign residents differently. That is why the figures can differ slightly.
Countries with a similar population
- Saint Helena 5,130
- Montserrat 4,318
- Falkland Islands 3,464
- Niue 1,823
- Vatican City 510
More countries in Oceania
- Australia 27,305,173
- Papua New Guinea 11,005,637
- New Zealand 5,298,036
- Fiji 938,561
- Solomon Islands 864,518
- Vanuatu 344,893
- New Caledonia 298,674
- French Polynesia 283,264
- Samoa 220,922
- Guam 170,550
- Kiribati 139,061
- Micronesia 114,346
All countries and territories →
Where these figures come from
The figures are estimates from the United Nations Population Division, published in World Population Prospects 2024 (medium variant): the reference used by international organizations and by most population counters. The UN estimates how many people there are on July 1 of each year and how many are born, die and migrate; between one date and the next, this counter spreads the change continuously, second by second.
It is not a real-time headcount: nobody can count every person in a country at once. It is the best available estimate, and it may differ slightly from the figures of each country's statistics office, which use their own censuses and population registers.